Interest rates on UK govt debt reached a new monthly high in August due to rising inflation.
According to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), interest payments reached £8.2 billion for the month, £1.5 billion more than in the previous year and the highest August total since records have been kept in 1997.
The government is getting ready to loan billions to help people with their energy costs, which is why there will be huge interest payments. Additionally, it is expected to announce £30 billion in tax cuts in a mini-Budget on Friday.
Government borrowing, defined as the shortfall over spending and tax revenue, was £11.8 billion in August, according to the ONS. That is £6.5 billion more than before the outbreak two years ago, but £2.6 billion less than August 2021.
Additionally, it is twice what the government’s independent budget watchdog, the Office for Budget Responsibility, predicted for August.
This is because the UK economy has been somewhat weak over the past few months, according to Martyn Beck, chief economic advisor to the EY Item Club and a former Treasury economist.
He explained that it meant that the government had to invest so much on debt interest charges while receiving less in the way of tax revenue.
According to the ONS, the recent increase in loan interest rates is mostly due to skyrocketing inflation.
This is due to the fact that interest rates on government bonds climb in step with the Retail Prices Index, which registered 12.3% inflation in August. Since last year, the govt has seen an increase in interest payments of 22.1%. However, Mr. Beck claimed that while the UK’s borrowing rates were still very cheap when compared to lengthy historical records, he was not overly concerned about the high debt levels.
Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng justified the government’s choice to spend billions on assisting individuals, families, and companies in adjusting to the shock of rising energy prices.
On Friday, the new chancellor will present an emergency mini-Budget that will outline how the government will pay for its newly announced initiatives to combat the UK’s growing cost of living.
He further stated that improving living standards for all citizens was a top priority for the administration, and that robust economic growth and stable public finances go hand in hand.
I have promised to reduce debt in the medium to long term as chancellor, he continued. However, just as we did even during pandemic, it is absolutely necessary that the government act now to assist individuals and companies in the face of a significant economic blow.
The government has declared that a restriction on wholesale energy pricing will result in some firms’ energy bills being half what is projected for this winter. Contracts entered into after October 1 and fixed contracts signed since April will be eligible for the help.
The action was taken in response to Prime Minister Liz Truss’ announcement that annual household energy costs would be capped at £2,500 until 2024.
Additionally, Ms. Truss has pledged to use Friday’s economic event to reverse the increase in National Insurance that her predecessor, Boris Johnson, enacted.
As part of a post-Brexit reorganization of City regulations, she is also anticipated to reduce corporate tax and abolish a bar on bankers’ bonuses.
According to PwC economist Hoa Duong, the government’s intentions raise questions about the stability of the public finances in the future. She said that they might fuel inflation.
While these measures may be able to help stressed-out people and struggling enterprises, any significant intervention will make it harder to manage the public sector’s debt, which already has to be balanced by £58 billion in the fiscal year that ends in August 2022.
Due to the scale of this package, even if the the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England decides to raise interest rates again tomorrow, the impact of such a move on containing rising would be little, and several hikes are probable in the near future.
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